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The desk runs its own numbers and publishes its calls next to the account that trades them. The short route:

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How to actually use the desk's indicators and algorithms

Each indicator on its own is only half a picture. Here's the plain-language way to use them together: when to buy, when to get out, and which triggers to trust. No jargon, just what the six years of history actually showed. The last section covers the desk's algorithms: the same rules, run by code, with their measured record.

One rule above all: check the weather first

The one rule

The Market Regime indicator is the market's traffic light. Green means money is flowing in and most coins are trending up (risk-on). Red means money is leaving and most coins are below trend (risk-off).

2020–2026 · the takeaway
green-regime basket growth
1.4×buy-and-hold growth
−67% vs −90%worst drawdown

Regime controls exposure, not coin selection. Green means you may look for entries; red means protect capital and skip longs.

Market Regime →

The 10 live tools, in plain words

Tool?What it is?What it tells you?How to read it?
Market Regimethe market's traffic lightrisk-on or risk-off right nowgreen → you may press; red → protect
Market Screenerliquid movers and unusual volumewhich names are even worth a first looka research funnel, not a trigger
Breakout Radarliquid coins near highs on real volumewhich names have live momentuma shortlist, not a buy button
Relative Strengthleaders versus the marketwhich names lead in risk-onselection input, only with green regime
Funding Stressmarket-wide leverage heatis leverage crowded across majors?hot → reduce risk; never short by itself
Funding Ratemedian perp fundinghow expensive leverage is nowcontext for crowding, not direction
Whale Accumulationnamed holders' 24h stack changewho is adding or trimmingconfirming context, not an entry
Cross-chain Flow7d chain TVL movementwhere liquidity is movingcontext before price, not a trigger
Toxicityblow-off and stretch riskwhich names are dangerous to chaseavoid or de-risk; never a short trigger
Attention / CT Heatwhere the crowd is right nowwhether a name is already crowdedcontext before acting; it forecasts nothing
Market Regime the weather gate — green risk-on, red risk-offBreakout Radar a shortlist of coins hitting highs on volumeFunding Stress the crowd meter — crowded = you're late

How to read a row → Market Regime: it's the market's traffic light. A green reading means you may press, a red reading means protect and stop taking longs. Check it before anything else.

Why one tool alone isn't enough

A breakout by itself is close to a coin-flip. Across six years, a coin flagged breaking out went up only about 49% of the time. But split it by the traffic light and it's night and day:

Breakout in a GREEN market

up 54% of the time, and much bigger average gains

Breakout in a RED market

up only 33% of the time, and negative on average

Same trigger, opposite outcome. The difference is the weather. This is why the rule comes first.

The funding myth. "Funding is sky-high, so short the top" sounds smart and is backwards. Historically, when longs were most crowded, price kept going up, not down. Crowding tells you a trade is late, not that it's about to reverse. Use it to size down, never as a reason to bet against the trend.

The 10-tool entry checklist (going long)

  1. Market Regime is green (risk-on). If it is red, do nothing — this is a hard stop, not a suggestion.
  2. Market Screener narrows the market to liquid movers and unusual volume. It is the first pass, not a trigger, nothing on it is an entry on its own.
  3. Breakout Radar finds real-volume momentum, not a random ticker.
  4. Relative Strength confirms that the name leads the market while the regime is green.
  5. It is already crowded. Attention says the crowd is here — that is not a veto, it is a warning about the price you will get.
  6. Toxicity does not veto it. Do not chase a blow-off just because momentum is strong.
  7. Funding Stress is not extreme — the market-wide leverage trade is not already packed.
  8. Funding Rate is not extreme for the coin. It is crowding context, never a direction trigger.
  9. Whale Accumulation shows named holders adding. Useful confirmation, not a trigger.
  10. Cross-chain Flow is positive for the coin's chain. Useful confirmation, not required.

All 10 align → full position size. Missing either confirmation (#9 or #10) → take a smaller size. Never skip the regime, selection or Toxicity checks. Daily Read fuses seven coin-level inputs around this global regime gate.

Getting out, and stops

What to trust, what to ignore

We tested dozens of triggers on the full cycle and published the failures too (that's the lab). Here's the short version:

Trust these (they confirm)

  • The market traffic light (Regime)
  • How hot funding is (the level)
  • How spread-out funding is across coins
  • How volatile the market has been

Ignore these (tested = noise)

  • Raw price momentum on its own
  • A single day's volume spike
  • Funding "percentile" rankings
  • Funding direction used as a buy/sell trigger

The rule for combining them: more agreeing triggers = a bigger position, never a reason to skip the checklist. One extra green light lets you size up. It does not let you buy in a red market.

The desk's algorithms: the same rules, run by code

The checklist above is the manual path. The algorithms below trade the same discipline mechanically: each ships its full rules and a backtest with controls. A losing result is published the same way as a winning one.

FamilyVariantsBarWhat it doesStatus
Donchian351d / 1h / 4hDonchian channel breakout on perps; variants add volume, correlation, regime and FVG filterslab 32 · candidate 3
Cross-Lab1115m / 1d / 4hrules from cross-lab v2 the desk owner launched by hand: they did not clear the funnel's own selection, and each carries the control it failed in its statuslab 11
HyperGrass31dmomentum basket on Hyperliquid; the product publishes target weightspublished 2 · candidate
Breakout Radar11dthe breakout radar read strictly: near the 52-week high, volume surging, trend strong; no measured exit yetlab
Daily Read11hthe desk's daily call, executed as an algorithm with its own ledgerpublished
HyperDelta14hcross-sectional momentum long-short over 15 Binance perps, dollar-neutral; the desk's re-measurement did not confirm the source's claimlab
SMC11dentry on a structure break (SMC)candidate
SMC v211dreturn into the chart study's live fair value gap, stop beyond the zone (SMC v2)candidate
TradFi Breakout11dbreakout on tokenized HIP-3 equitiescandidate

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Honest limits (read this)

All indicators The lab

Indicators and playbook are purely for informational purposes only. They are not intended to and should not be interpreted as investment or financial advice.